Bivariate Data: Correlation and Lines of Best Fit
An HSC/VCE-style study guide to analysing two numerical variables: describing scatterplots, interpreting Pearson's r and the coefficient…
- Difficulty
- Level 3 · Challenge
- Time
- 25 min
An HSC/VCE-style study guide to the bell curve: calculating z-scores, comparing results from different tests, using the 68–95–99.7 rule, reading probabilities from a standard normal table or calculator and working backwards from a percentage to a raw score. Includes a six-question self-check with answers.
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Curriculum: Australian Curriculum. We show specific outcome codes only where they have been verified against the official curriculum document.
Completed: The Normal Distribution and z-scores
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Year 12 students (typically ages 17–18) working on statistics. It is pitched at level 3 · challenge.
This is a study guide, so there is no separate answer sheet; the 'Check yourself' questions include answers.
About 25 minutes. Short, regular sessions work best: two or three a week beats one long one.
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Year 12 · Mathematics · Statistics
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Many measurements — heights, test scores, measurement errors — follow a normal distribution: a symmetric bell-shaped curve centred on the mean μ, with spread measured by the standard deviation σ. The mean, median and mode are all equal, and the total area under the curve is 1 (100%). A z-score tells you how many standard deviations a value is from the mean: z = [frac x − μ/σ]. Positive z is above the mean, negative z is below, and z = 0 is exactly the mean.
Converting to z-scores lets you compare values from different distributions on the same scale, and lets you use one standard normal table (μ = 0, σ = 1) for every normal distribution. The table or calculator gives P(Z < z); use symmetry and the complement for other regions: P(Z > z) = 1 − P(Z < z), and P(Z < −z) = P(Z > z).
| Interval | Approximate percentage of data (empirical rule) | Useful halves |
|---|---|---|
| μ − σ to μ + σ (z from −1 to 1) | 68% | 34% each side of the mean |
| μ − 2σ to μ + 2σ (z from −2 to 2) | 95% | 47.5% each side; 2.5% in each tail |
| μ − 3σ to μ + 3σ (z from −3 to 3) | 99.7% | 49.85% each side; 0.15% in each tail |
| between 1σ and 2σ above the mean | 13.5% | 47.5% − 34% |
Test scores have μ = 65 and σ = 8. Find the z-scores for 77 and 53.
Which result is better: 82 in Maths (μ = 70, σ = 8) or 75 in English (μ = 62, σ = 10)?
Heights are normal with μ = 170 cm and σ = 6 cm. Use the empirical rule.
Using a standard normal table with μ = 65 and σ = 8
Working backwards: what score is needed to be in the top 10% (μ = 65, σ = 8)?
Answers: 1. 2 2. −1.6 3. 68% 4. 40 is z = −2, so 2.5% 5. 50 + 1.5 × 5 = 57.5 6. Alex (z = 2) did better than Bea (z = 1.5)
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An HSC/VCE-style study guide to analysing two numerical variables: describing scatterplots, interpreting Pearson's r and the coefficient…
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