Probability: Tree Diagrams and Conditional Probability
A senior study guide to multi-stage probability: the addition and multiplication rules, tree diagrams with and without replacement,…
- Difficulty
- Level 2 · Standard
- Time
- 25 min
A senior math worksheet on counting: the multiplication principle, factorials, permutations (including repeated letters, restrictions and circular arrangements) and combinations, then using counting to find probabilities. Each section opens with a short summary and worked example, and the sheet finishes with an extended committee problem. Full working is given for every answer.
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Curriculum: Texas grade levels (TEKS). We show specific outcome codes only where they have been verified against the official curriculum document.
Completed: Counting Techniques: Permutations and Combinations
11th Grade students (typically ages 16–17) working on probability. It is pitched at level 2 · standard; a harder version is linked above.
Yes. The PDF includes a full answer sheet with the working for every question. You can also view the answers online.
About 45 minutes for 17 questions. Short, regular sessions work best: two or three a week beats one long one.
No. Click Download Free PDF and it opens immediately. It is free for personal, classroom and homeschool use.
Try Discrete Random Variables and Expected Value.
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Show your work. Leave answers as whole numbers or fractions in simplest form unless a decimal is asked for.
Multiplication principle: if one choice can be made in m ways and a second choice in n ways, the two together can be made in m × n ways. Draw a box for each position and write the number of choices in it.
Factorials: n! = n × (n − 1) × … × 2 × 1 is the number of ways to arrange n different objects in a row. By definition 0! = 1.
Worked example. How many 3-digit numbers can be made from the digits 1 to 6 if no digit is repeated? Boxes: 6 × 5 × 4 = 120. If repeats were allowed it would be 6 × 6 × 6 = 216.
A permutation is an arrangement where order matters. The number of ways to arrange r objects chosen from n different objects is [sup n]P[sup r] = [frac n!/(n − r)!].
If some objects are identical, divide by the factorial of each repeated group: the letters of a word with n letters, where one letter appears a times and another b times, can be arranged in ways. For objects that must be together, glue them into one block, arrange the blocks, then arrange inside the block.
Worked example. In how many ways can a president and a secretary be chosen from 10 club members? Order matters (the roles differ): 10P2 = 10 × 9 = 90.
A combination is a selection where order does not matter. The number of ways to choose r objects from n different objects is [sup n]C[sup r] = [frac n!/r! (n − r)!]. Each combination of r objects can be arranged in r! orders, so nCr = .
Ask yourself: if I swap two of the chosen objects, do I get a different outcome? If yes, use permutations; if no, use combinations. For at least one questions, count everything and subtract the selections with none.
Worked example. How many ways can a team of 3 be chosen from 8 players? 8C3 = = = 56. Compare with 8P3 = 336: each team is counted 3! = 6 times when order matters.
Preview — the PDF contains the full resource and answer sheet.
A senior study guide to multi-stage probability: the addition and multiplication rules, tree diagrams with and without replacement,…
A senior math worksheet on discrete probability distributions: checking that a table is a valid distribution, finding unknown…
Worksheet · 9th Grade · Probability · Level 1 · Easier
Worksheet · 9th Grade · Probability · Level 2 · Standard
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